Potential Tropical Cyclone 9 has been designated over the Bahamas5yr ⋅ rampagee757 ⋅ r/TropicalWeather
Ominous signs on the latest EPS: support for Gulf development within 5 days and active MDR later on5yr ⋅ rampagee757 ⋅ r/TropicalWeather
What we think max sustained winds mean vs. what it actually means6yr ⋅ rampagee757 ⋅ r/TropicalWeather
The lemon is here! 10% chance of development in the next 2 days; 20% chance in the next 5 days6yr ⋅ rampagee757 ⋅ r/TropicalWeather
EPS has significantly increased support for 98L to develop into a named storm within the next five days; some MDR mischief shown as well.5yr ⋅ rampagee757 ⋅ r/TropicalWeather
Tropical wave currently located over Hispaniola now has 40% chance to develop as it enters the Gulf6yr ⋅ rampagee757 ⋅ r/TropicalWeather
While we wait for the Atlantic hurricane season to ramp up, let's take a moment to admire arguably the two strongest tropical cyclones ever recorded--Super Typhoon Haiyan (195mph) and Hurricane Patricia (215mph)6yr ⋅ rampagee757 ⋅ r/TropicalWeather
The disturbance coming off Africa has been designated as Invest 90L and has 90% chance of development within the next five days6yr ⋅ rampagee757 ⋅ r/TropicalWeather
GOES-16 is something else! Olivia, Florence, 92L, 93L all visible6yr ⋅ rampagee757 ⋅ r/TropicalWeather
Atlantic MDR is now more than 1°C colder than average; Tropical Atlantic experienced significant cooling in the past weeks6yr ⋅ rampagee757 ⋅ r/TropicalWeather
Euro's Ensemble Prediction System highlights three potential tropical cyclones in the northern Atlantic a week from now6yr ⋅ rampagee757 ⋅ r/TropicalWeather
Ernesto is still classified as a tropical storm over ~60F SSTs at 50.4N--so far north that he can barely be seen on the NHC graphic!6yr ⋅ rampagee757 ⋅ r/TropicalWeather
SSTs in equatorial Pacific on the rise in the past two months, signaling the approaching end of La Nina6yr ⋅ rampagee757 ⋅ r/TropicalWeather
Today's 00z EPS shows relatively strong support (~50% of ensemble members) for tropical cyclone development over the MDR within the next couple of days.5yr ⋅ rampagee757 ⋅ r/TropicalWeather
11am ET ASCAT pass suggests that Invest 95L (upper right corner) has nearly closed off its surface circulation and is quickly nearing TD status6yr ⋅ rampagee757 ⋅ r/TropicalWeather
Atlantic MDR has warmed up slightly relative to average in the past week; anomalous cooling not observed in nearly two weeks6yr ⋅ rampagee757 ⋅ r/TropicalWeather
Euro's EPS has been impressively consistent for the past couple of days in developing a tropical wave currently located over central Africa6yr ⋅ rampagee757 ⋅ r/TropicalWeather
Area of low pressure forecast to develop downstream of a subtropical PV streamer; could take on subtropical or tropical characteristics6yr ⋅ rampagee757 ⋅ r/TropicalWeather
Concerning signal this morning as Euro's EPS shows ~80% chance of a tropical cyclone developing in the far western Caribbean and moving into the Gulf of Mexico within the next 7 days6yr ⋅ rampagee757 ⋅ r/TropicalWeather
FV3-GFS (next gen GFS set to become operational next year) still has convective feedback/vorticity issues--many more fantasy storms to come6yr ⋅ rampagee757 ⋅ r/TropicalWeather
Possible subtropical development off SE coast in early June...and more6yr ⋅ rampagee757 ⋅ r/TropicalWeather
