u/howell--jolly

71 results (0.07 seconds)

They make beautiful cars. Why is Lucid down >80%?

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Most politicians can be good market timers and traders. New York Times. 09/14/2022.

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Three months ago Robert Kiyosaki advised fighting inflation by purchasing gold, silver, and Bitcoin. Today he changed his mind and advises to sell Bitcoin, gold, and inflation and fight inflation by buying fish and tuna. What to do? 😂

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Welcome to Bear Market; today S&P500 dropped >20% from its previous peak. It is the first time I have been in Bear Market. What about you?

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How to have $1 million? Start with 1 billion dollars. Buy Meta shares at $378, then sell them at $90, then buy them again at $325 and wait for the next sell-low opportunity.

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Meta (Facebook) dropped ~60% YTD. Recently Meta has also been included in a large-cap value ETF of Avantis (AVLV) as a company with value, high profitability, and robust investing characteristics; Meta is the 10th largest position in AVLV. P/E is 13.3. Is it the right time to buy Meta?

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The best companies aren't the best stocks to own. S&P500 includes the best companies, but the best stocks to own are small value stocks.

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Stocks dropped because the economy was better than expected 🤦🤦🤦. What's the logic?

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I think Seeking Alpha is being a fool with this advice.

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Let the power of capitalism work for you in 2024! Happy New Year! 🎄🎄🎄🎅🎅🎅🎆🎆🎆🎉🎉🎉

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I like it! 😂

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Is the next target the liquidation of the fund?

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The absolute winners of 2008 Financial Crisis among banks were JPMorgan Chase and Wells Fargo.

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From 2010 to 2020 the annual per-capita GDP growth was 6-10.6% for China and 1.6-3.1% for the USA. The average total annual stock market return was 5.03% for China and 13.31% for the US. Why did the Chinese stock market substantially lag the US stock market despite China's massive economic growth?

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Petroleo Brasileiro, the largest oil producing company in Brazil, has a dividend yield of 60% in USD! What's the catch?

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I opened a self-directed brokerage account in Merrill Edge, and it wants to charge me a 5% commission on every trade of ETFs or stocks. On Merrill official site they say that buying and selling stocks and ETFs is commission free. WTF?

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How much does a coffee cost for our budget?

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The global stock market's CAPE ratio (Shiller PE) is currently 21, which is close to its historical average. It might indicate that the global stock market is reasonably priced. The S&P500's CAPE ratio is 31. Historically, after CAPE ratio >31, the S&P500 10-year average annual return has been 2.33%

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I respect Jamie Dimon. In the 2000s he kept Chase away from toxic mortgage-backed securities, and now he is staying away from cryptos and it's derivatives like NFT and tokens.

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This is why you must have an emergency fund. Many financial emergencies occur during recessions. You don't want to be in a position where an emergency occurs and your portfolio is down 30%+.

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Do you know why countries with the best GDP growth rate do not have the best stock market returns?

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Meta share price is at 5-year low and it became the 12th largest company in S&P500 from the 4th position 2 years ago.

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US government bonds are supposed to be a low risk asset class for investors. But, the extended-duration government bond ETF (EDV) with the duration of 25+ years is down 36% this year, while S&P500 is down only 25%. What the hell is going on?

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Is now the time to buy the US long-term treasuries with modified duration of 25 years?

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How to beat inflation? Simply staying invested helps outpace inflation over the long term. But... S&P500 beats inflation by 5.1% annually, while small value stocks beat inflation by 12.4% annually!

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The wealthiest cities in the US. New York City has more millionaires, Bay Area has more billionaires. Bloomberg.

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After stocks drop 20% or more, they average a cumulative rate of return of over 41% over the next 3 years and over 71% over 5 years. Stay disciplined.

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Meanwhile, during the last 30 years, if you have invested $1000/year from 01/1992 to 05/2022, the best performers are mid-cap blend stocks, then mid-cap value stocks, and then large-growth stocks.

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NFTs lost 90% of their value since they peaked in November 2021.

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Experts are predicting inflation, a recession, and the potential end of the dollar era. Meanwhile, the CNN Fear and Greed Index indicates that we are currently in the Extreme Greed zone 😄.

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We all are witnessing a burst of a massive bubble of low-profitability growth stocks.

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FTX is a cryptocurrency exchange; NASDAQ is a stock exchange. If I buy stocks of Google on NASDAQ and then NASDAQ files for bankruptcy, I will not lose my Google stocks. Why did people lose their cryptocurrencies purchased on FTX when FTX filed for bankruptcy?

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Do the buyers of the ape pictures belong to the super-rich or super-stupid class?

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The price of a virtual coin with no intrinsic value can drop to $13000😂. Why do people pay thousands of $$ for nothing?

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During the last decade, growth stocks outperformed value by a lot! Since 2021 value stocks have outperformed growth, which is more pronounced in the previous six months! Will value stocks continue to outperform growth during the upcoming decade?

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Petroleo Brasileiro, the largest oil producing company in Brazil, the component of the S&P Latin America 40 index and S&P Global 1200 index, has a dividend yield of 60% in USD! What is the catch?

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During the Great Financial Crisis of 2008, greedy banks were overleveraged by mortgaged-backed securities and got bankrupt or purchased by wise banks like JPMorgan Chase and Wells Fargo. Are there any greedy big banks that are overleveraged by cryptocurrency investments today?

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JPMorgan does not like my portfolio and wants to help me to stay on track for taking from me 1-2% of my portfolio annually.

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The short-term government bond yield is more than 5%. Historically, the expected return of the S&P 500 has been approximately 5% higher than the short-term government bond yield. Additionally, historically, the return of small-cap value stocks has been 3-5% higher than the return of the S&P500.

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Many people are afraid of repeating the Japanese stock market bubble in the US. From 01/1990 to 12/2019, the Japanese stock market index annual return was 2.36%. Meanwhile, during the same period, Japan's value index yearly return was 7.96%. Factor diversification is essential.

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Why do we like to look at the returns of an asset class during the last decade but we don't like to look at the returns during the last 100 years? 100-year period contains 90 10-year periods. It gives an idea of what the average, best and worst 10-year returns are, and what to expect in the future.

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Is the S&P500 the best index to invest in? You just look at it! The performance of the US small-value stocks, international small-value stocks, emerging market value stocks from 01/1998 to 09/2022.

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S&P 500 has not reached its peak since 12/2021. The total International stock market index has not reached its peak since 06/2021. Historically, during bear markets for S&P 500, it has taken on average 40 months to reach its previous peak. P.S. S&P 500 value index reached its peak on 07/2023.

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Six months ago, investors bought this fund, which is highly concentrated with the it's the future bro, you don't know, trust me stocks, for $160. Now investors are selling it for $40. Did the far future change within half a year?😅

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As inflation cools down (CPI rose 0.2% over last month and 3% over the prior year in June), the Fed is likely to stop hiking interest rates. Do you think bank stocks have the potential to bounce back in 2023-2024?

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Bear market? No! US large value stocks are down -2%, US small value and international large value stocks are positive, and international small value stocks are down -4%. 2022 reminds me of 2000.

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How to beat inflation? Simply staying invested helps outpace inflation over the long term. But... S&P500 beats inflation by 5.1% annually, while small value stocks beat inflation by 12.4% annually!

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Small-cap value stocks are the best stocks to own. But small-cap value stocks with high profitability and conservative asset growth are even better. The graph shows the returns if you invested $10000/year from 1992 to 2022 in S&P500, SCV, and SCV with high profitability and conservative asset growth

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Will it reach the all-time low of $15 per share?

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Capital One savings account annual interest rate is 3%!

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During the last one, three, and six months my small-cap value portfolio (70% the US and 30% international) outperformed everything: S&P500 index, Dow Jones Industrial Index, MSCI ACWA ex USA index (all world except USA), both US treasury and corporate bonds. It underperformed only to cash.

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Those were great days! 🥺

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The US Department of Justice recovered 50676 bitcoins that were stolen by hackers in 2012. It means: Bitcoin transactions can be tracked; Bitcoin is not safe to own and can be stolen; Bitcoin ownership is not insured by FDIC like the cash in checking accounts.

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Stocks beat inflation and generate the highest long-term returns.

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Are we in fear or capitulation now?

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What's going on with Carnival Group? COVID-19 is disappearing due to widespread vaccination. It's summertime now and people are cruising. The economy is hot, which means people have money to cruise. Why is Carnival Group's stock price at the level of COVID-19 panic?

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